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	<title>odds - Reflectd - bringing psychology studies to life</title>
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		<title>Why We Always Lose in Gambling Over Time: We Fail to Make Accurate Predictions About Probability</title>
		<link>https://reflectd.co/2013/09/11/why-people-fail-to-make-accurate-predictions-about-probability/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=why-people-fail-to-make-accurate-predictions-about-probability</link>
					<comments>https://reflectd.co/2013/09/11/why-people-fail-to-make-accurate-predictions-about-probability/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Simon Moesgaard]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Sep 2013 08:03:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Cognitive Bias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cognitive Psychology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[calculation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gambling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mental shortcut]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[probability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[representative heuristic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the gambler&#039;s fallacy]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://reflectd.wordpress.com/2013/09/11/people-fail-to-make-accurate-predictions-about-probability-because-of-mental-shortcuts-representativeness-heuristic/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>When we solve problems and make decisions and judgments, we very often use mental shortcuts (so-called heuristics). We use these heuristics if we neither have resources nor time to compare all available information before making a choice. In other words, heuristics ease the cognitive load of making a decision. In general, heuristics can be helpful [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://reflectd.co/2013/09/11/why-people-fail-to-make-accurate-predictions-about-probability/">Why We Always Lose in Gambling Over Time: We Fail to Make Accurate Predictions About Probability</a> first appeared on <a href="https://reflectd.co">Reflectd - bringing psychology studies to life</a>.</p>]]></description>
		
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